Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Calling The Bluff

Well, floks, in a few hours' time we're breaching over to the 17th of September. What has happened to Anwar Ibrahim's claim that he will form a the new Malaysian Government by the 16th of September? Was he bluffing?

As of today, Anwar's still adamant—he still insists that he has enough MPs who will defect to the PKR to enable him to form the new Government. But it will be delayed for a few more days. Is this yet another bluff?

I can't tell. But it is interesting to note that some BN hotshots are showing signs of wanting to defect to the other side. The early bird is of course Datuk Yong Teck Lee of the SAPP. He has been wanting Pak Lah to sack him. He could have simply defected on his own accord, but that may not seem to be gentlemanly. More recently, in fact within the last couple of days, we've also seen Muhyiddin Yassin spoke out on the need for Pak Lah to hand over the Prime Ministership sooner. He had earlier said that he was prepared to face the consequences (for speaking up). In the good old days, speaking up like that against the Prime Minister would have almost certainly be met with sacking by the party. Was that what Muhyiddin was asking for?

Zaid Ibrahim had also taken the "heroic" way out. He seized the opportunity to resign when 3 people were arrested under the Internal Security Act (ISA). Pak Lah had initially rejected his resignation, but eventually had to accept it today.

Elsewhere it seems that an increasing number of BN VIPs spoke out against the latest arrests under the ISA. BN VIPs hardly ever dared to open their mouths against their leaders in the past, but suddenly a fair number of them are practically asking to be sacked.

But Pak Lah must suppress his inclination to be trigger happy. He can't afford to simply shoot everyone who speaks up. That's how it is when you have very limited ammunition. He needs these allies even if he doesn't really treat them as his friends.

So if these MPs and other VIPs are not getting sacked, will they eventually resign anyway? I think at least some of them will, especially those who wanted so much to have high positions but were not given any in the present Government. Who knows, the pasture might be greener on the other side, right? Of course it has nothing very much to do with wanting to be of service to the people. That is secondary—now they're more concerned with their own political career and pockets first. Maybe if they end up being in high office, they will spend some time to do something for us all, but don't bet on it.

As I said, I am convinced that at least some BN people will cross over to the PKR, but it's hard to believe that Anwar has enough to form a new Government. As far as comments from the many loyal Sabahan MPs—that they remain loyal to Pak Lah—don't pay too much attention to them. If indeed Anwar is confirmed to form the new Government, just watch how quickly all these MPs abandon ship. Some things just never change.

3 comments:

Cornelius said...

Well, after a few months of playing cat and mouse, BN still did not kick out SAPP. So in the end SAPP pulls out on its own accord.

Although Datuk Raymond Tan said he's unhappy with that decision, he has no plan to quit SAPP as of now. Instead he will tender his resignation as Deputy Chief Minister. BN's number of MPs is beginning to decline. Maybe some others will follow suit? Perhaps Pak Lah should start believing Anwar's claim and try to do something about it... if he still can.

CK said...

haha.... the last paragraph spelt the truth of the sabah political scene.

SAPP? Raymond is definitely getting back into BN's fold, another BN compoonent party or a new party.

Cornelius said...

So, CK, do you think it's true that Anwar has enough MPs to form a new Government?

After all, it's already past 16 September? Is he just bluffing? What's your theory on all this drama?

Well, I think there is an interesting psychological analysis to be made here. Today is my rest day, so I will write a bit on this later this evening.